The Role of Turkey in a Future European Security Order

Institutions, Threat Perceptions and Defence Cooperation

 

10 - 11 March 2025, Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP)

Ludwigkirchplatz 3–4, 10719 Berlin
 

In a new project initiated by the Centre for Applied Turkey Studies (CATS) at Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP), we explore Turkey’s potential role in a redefined European security landscape, particularly in light of the EU’s ongoing challenges, first and foremost being the war in Ukraine. CATS has commissioned country reports for a number of EU member states as well as for Ukraine and Turkey, whose aim is to identify the possibilities and challenges of cooperation between Turkey and the EU in an evolving security order. 

Against this background, CATS at the SWP is organizing an authors' workshop on Monday, 10 March 2025, discussing the country reports among the auhtors and other experts. The workshop will be followed by an in-person round table discussion, on Tuesday, 11 March 2025, bringing together key decision-makers, diplomats, and experts to explore and discuss various perspectives on Turkey’s potential role. The event will conclude with an optional lunch buffet.

 

 

Conference Documents

Join the event on Zoom via this link: https://swp-berlin.webex.com/swp-berlin/j.php?MTID=m1081c4c786b1bf25b1d582880d41b308

To ensure a smooth start, please connect a few minutes early when joining online. Should you encounter any technical issues, please do not hesitate to contact marcus.chavasse@swp-berlin.org.

As the Chatham House Rule applies to all SWP meetings, participants are free to use the information received, but neither the identity nor the affiliation of the speaker(s), nor that of any other participant, may be revealed. As a matter of confidentiality, photographs, video or audio recordings as well as all kinds of activities on social media are not allowed during our meetings. Participant lists are not to be circulated to third parties for reasons of data protection and confidentiality.
 

The Centre for Applied Turkey Studies (CATS) at Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) in Berlin is funded by Stiftung Mercator and the Federal Foreign Office. CATS is the curator of CATS Network, an international network of think tanks and research institutions working on Turkey.  

Publications

Turkey’s Authoritarian Drift Accelerates: Istanbul Mayor Faces Imprisonment

Erdoğan’s government is tightening its grip on power, using the judiciary to sideline key opposition figures like Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu. This represents another step toward full authoritarian rule, say Hürcan Aslı Aksoy and Salim Çevik.

Point of View, 26.02.2025

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Germany’s Perceptions of Turkey’s Policy in the South Caucasus

From Coexistence to Cooperation?

Turkey is a NATO ally, an EU membership candidate and a confident geopolitical actor. The latter aspect is uppermost in Berlin’s assessment of Ankara’s policy in the South Caucasus, where Turkey’s growing influence is recognised. If they are to make the most of the potential for cooperation, Ankara and Berlin each need to acknowledge the other’s foreign policy framework and find ways to reconcile Turkey’s autonomous line with Germany’s EU-oriented and often normative approach.

CATS Network Paper, No. 12, 17 February 2025, 30 Pages

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Syria: What role do Turkey and Germany play?

Syria is facing a new beginning following the fall of the Assad regime. The German government should support Syria’s transformation in close cooperation with Turkey in order to ensure the stabilisation of the country and minimise the risk of escalating geopolitical rivalries, says Yaşar Aydin.

Point of View, 07.02.2025

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Yaşar Aydın, Hanns Günther Hilpert, Kemal Kirisci, Paul Levin, Alan Makovsky, Wolfango Piccoli, Juliane Schäuble, Çağdaş Üngör

How will the Trump administration’s protectionist policies impact Turkish-American relations?

After a year marked by elections around the globe, the elected governments are adopting new policies and reshaping the global environment. Most significant among those are the second Trump administration’s protectionist trade policies, which are often perceived as economic coercion or even a new kind of “mercantilism”. Unlike Beijing and Brussels, where Washington’s commitment to higher tariffs raises eyebrows, Ankara is rather optimistic about Turkey’s economic prospects. The Turkish currency, the lira, surged after Trump’s election victory in November 2024, and Turkish officials anticipate lower tariffs and an easier flow of Turkish export goods into the US market. On the other hand, Ankara is also eager to join BRICS – an organisation that was recently warned by Donald Trump to not challenge the dominant status of the US dollar in the global financial system. Given these contradictory trends, it remains to be seen how US-Turkish relations will proceed under the Trump presidency. Will Washington spare Turkey the additional tariffs that are likely to hit China, Mexico and perhaps even Europe in 2025? How will the Trump administration’s protectionist policies impact Turkish-American relations?

CATS Network Perspectives, 24.01.2025

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Kadri Tastan

EU-Turkey Economic Relations in the Era of Geo-economic Fragmentation

SWP Comment 2024/C 40, 06.09.2024, 6 Pages
doi:10.18449/2024C40

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Galip Dalay, Salih Bıçakcı, Sinem Adar, Anouck Côrte-Real, Valeria Talbot, Dušan Reljić, Dimitrios Triantaphyllou, Alan Makovsky, Karol Wasilewski, Paul Levin

Turkey’s navigation in a multipolar security landscape

Sweden joined NATO as its 32nd member in March 2024. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine stretches into the third year. The war in Gaza and Iran’s attack on Israel highlight the risks of escalation in the Middle East. As a NATO member, how does Turkey navigate these different security challenges? Does the evolving security landscape give Turkey geopolitical leverage and, if yes, how does Ankara use it? Can Turkey serve as a mediator in any of these military conflicts?

CATS Network Perspectives, 13.06.2024

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